Is my edge real?

A strategy that won 7 of its last 10 trades has proven almost nothing. Enter your results to see the honest odds that your edge is real, how many trades you need to be sure, and the drawdown and losing streak you must be ready to survive. Runs in your browser.

Win rate (%)Average win (R)Average loss (R)Number of trades so far

Your risk

Risk per trade (% of account)Loss limit you must stay inside (%)

Uses your trades' real mix of wins and losses, reshuffled 2,000 times. Streaks and drawdowns always look worse than the average suggests - this shows by how much. Not financial advice.

Not financial advice. Market data for information only. Trading gold and crypto carries a high risk of loss; past statistics do not guarantee future results. Prices can differ slightly from your broker's.